Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.057074 0.066462 0.076757 0.088865 0.102692 0.117969 0.136104
2025-04-06 0.042765 0.055031 0.069715 0.088503 0.111808 0.139667 0.175383
2025-04-13 0.033042 0.046486 0.063876 0.087823 0.119713 0.160463 0.216172
2025-04-20 0.028061 0.042696 0.062948 0.092654 0.134672 0.191448 0.273319
2025-04-27 0.023954 0.039146 0.061493 0.096178 0.147925 0.221353 0.332248
2025-05-04 0.019408 0.033974 0.056688 0.093881 0.152207 0.238813 0.375292
2025-05-11 0.016220 0.030263 0.053369 0.093095 0.158265 0.259045 0.423978
2025-05-18 0.013363 0.026521 0.049319 0.090383 0.160679 0.273608 0.465045
2025-05-25 0.011203 0.023579 0.046093 0.088449 0.163880 0.289385 0.509110
2025-06-01 0.009769 0.021709 0.044427 0.088899 0.170987 0.311947 0.565946
2025-06-08 0.008257 0.019384 0.041535 0.086650 0.172934 0.325777 0.609078
2025-06-15 0.007711 0.018963 0.042227 0.091201 0.187660 0.362953 0.695467
2025-06-22 0.006825 0.017664 0.041020 0.091989 0.195614 0.389177 0.765546
2025-06-29 0.005820 0.015891 0.038554 0.089888 0.197723 0.404904 0.818041
2025-07-06 0.005010 0.014417 0.036493 0.088330 0.200688 0.422433 0.875324
2025-07-13 0.004711 0.014164 0.037141 0.092721 0.216344 0.465738 0.985136
2025-07-20 0.004368 0.013729 0.037291 0.096002 0.229968 0.506148 1.092468
2025-07-27 0.003754 0.012413 0.035105 0.093585 0.230937 0.521092 1.150468
2025-08-03 0.003303 0.011463 0.033671 0.092739 0.235259 0.543215 1.224599
2025-08-10 0.002832 0.010338 0.031591 0.090005 0.234920 0.555416 1.279109
2025-08-17 0.002458 0.009426 0.029923 0.088062 0.236176 0.571061 1.341941
2025-08-24 0.002217 0.008891 0.029212 0.088503 0.243170 0.599799 1.434844
2025-08-31 0.001919 0.008087 0.027587 0.086259 0.243287 0.613102 1.495020